I've listed my thoughts followed by theirs and then whether or not we match. The match column can be the obvious yes or no, but also "maybe" in cases where the T&T has two guesses and one of them matches.
On a few occassions they suggested a minister I didn't think would be in and vice versa, in these cases the portfolio is listed as "n/a".
There is a blank column I'll come back and update after Tuesday to see who was right. (update - table completed on Oct 3)
Highlights
We agree on a surprisingly high 4 ministers with another 3 maybes. Considering this is wholly guess work it is impressive to have any matches at all which suggests that perhaps those will be bang on the money.
I think Cheryl Lavoie will be in the cabinet while they do not. They think either Stuart Jamieson or Jack Keir will be in while I think neither will be and they also think Denis Landry will be in which I do not.
Enjoy.
| MLA | nbpolitico says | T&T says | Agree? | Right? |
| Hédard Albert | Reg Dev Corp | Fisheries | No | both wrong |
| Donald Arseneault | Natural Resources | Tourism | No | I'm right |
| Victor Boudreau | Education | Education or Health | Maybe | both wrong |
| T.J. Burke | Transportation / Supply+Serv / Abo Affs | Justice | No | T&T right |
| Greg Byrne | Finance | Business | No | T&T right |
| Dr. Ed Doherty | Community Srvs / Housing | Community Srvs / Housing | Yes | both wrong |
| Rick Doucet | Agri&Aqua | Agri&Aqua | Yes | both wrong |
| John Foran | Public Safety | Public Safety | Yes | both right |
| Roland Haché | Health | Transportation | No | both wrong |
| Stuart Jamieson | n/a | Environment | No | both wrong, but T&T had him in cabinet |
| Jack Keir | n/a | Environment | No | both wrong, but T&T had him in cabinet |
| Kelly Lamrock | House Leader / Higher Education | Higher Education or Health | Maybe | both wrong |
| Denis Landry | n/a | not specified | No | T&T right to have him in cabinet, but didn't specify job |
| Cheryl Lavoie | Wellness / Seniors | n/a | No | T&T sort of right in that they didn't specify a minister and it went to the premier |
| Bernard LeBlanc | Local Government | n/a | No | T&T right not to include him in cabinet |
| Roly MacIntyre | Energy | Energy | Yes | both wrong |
| Mike Murphy | Justice | Justice or Finance | Maybe | both wrong |
| Ronald Ouelette | Environment / Population | not specified | No | both wrong though T&T didn't specify |
| Carmel Robichaud | Fisheries | Women | No | T&T sort of right, but they didn't include her main portfolio |
| Mary Schryer | Business / Women | Local Government | No | both wrong |
Posts
5 comments:
Byrne in Business New Brunswick??? T&T is way off, he's definitely getting Finance imo.
Though I think T&T could be onto something with TJ Burke in Justice as he was Justice Critic for a while.
Regarding one of your earlier blogs, how Weir ensured no other Dippers got elected to the Legislature... you think she did this on purpose? The only incident that comes to my mind is the Millie Augustine nomination fiasco...
My feeling is that Carmel Robichaud will get something else than Fisheries or Women's(the riding has already received a Fisheries Minister during Camille Thériault's short reign and I doubt that Shawn Graham will make that mistake again).She will either have Education or Family & Community Services or Employment Development or Agriculture & Aquaculture(Miramichi Bay is by the way the leading centre in NB of suspended oyster farming operations). But, maybe Graham will offer her a small portfolio and the Northern Development Fund. Giving her a small portfolio without some power influence such as that Fund will be seen by northern Acadian women as an affront.
I am willing to bet my home that Lamrock is Education; Byrne is Business NB and Burke is Justice! Any takers?
How nice is your home, anon 9:05? :)
Anon at 9:05 was right on the button. Will s/he reveal him/herself???
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