Today is the first day that more than one state will vote (only for Republicans though) so what we've got is all kinds of chance for extra spin and excitement. I posted my predictions Wednesday and Thursday. I'll round them up here for your benefit.
Nevada:
Obama 35
Edwards 32
Clinton 30
Romney 41
McCain 20
Giuliani 10
Thompson 10
Huckabee 10
Paul 9
South Carolina:
McCain 37
Huckabee 24
Romney 19
Thompson 12
Paul 4
Giuliani 4
Have fun watching day!
Saturday, January 19, 2008
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4 comments:
Well, I guess giving 19% to Edwards was a little too high after all. Although, he did suffer a blowout (like I said) and he will probably have to drop out of the race earlier than he anticipated.
I can [also] take come consolation in predicting the spreads between first and second place finishers in both the Democratic Nevada caucus and the Republican SC primary:
[7%] 6% dems
[2%] 3% gop (although I had Romney second).
Something I realized was a dumb move a few minutes later after observing the polls. Not that they're to be believed. lol
I thought Edwards collapsing would benefit Obama - that the anti-establishment/anti-Hillary vote would coalesce around Obama - but it seems she's picked up some of that support as well.
Obama's a good candidate, but I hope he doesn't make any more stupid remarks about Reagan or not remembering where he put his papers!
Whoopsy for me, having Edwards in second. I'll have a post-mortem up shortly.
Wow - you really underestimated Dr. Paul on this one... He came in 2nd with 14 percent of the vote.
How can people be so stupid to vote for these idiots over a man who has delivered thousands of babies and seen even more vaginas?
A man who refuses to submit his country to the debt slavery and police state policies demanded by our New World Order kleptocracy?
Wake up people! Join the Revolution - in New Brunswick and everywhere else!
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