Nevada caucus

Just as in Iowa, Nevada has a rule of 15% viability in a particular voting location for a candidate to get any delegates from that location. Polls show all of the non-Sanders candidates near or below 15, meaning they will surely miss viability in some significant number of precincts.

Nevada is clearly a race for second.

Biden has managed to maintain his lead in all post-Iowa/New Hampshire polls of South Carolina, which votes just 7 days after Nevada and just 3 days before Super Tuesday. Can Biden survive another loss and win in South Carolina? And if he does, will it be too little, too late?

Klobuchar seems to have not taken off in Nevada or South Carolina and may place sixth in both states. She will go on to perhaps win her home state of Minnesota on Super Tuesday on a day when Sanders could conceivably sweep the rest; does she stay for that possibility?

If Biden finishes second, after finishing fourth and fifth in previous outings, does that become the story and given him momentum heading into a win in South Carolina and thereafter into Super Tuesday?

If Warren finishes second, is her campaign reborn?

If Buttigieg finishes second, does the narrative get reset back to the possible Bernie-Pete two-way showdown that was being discussed out of Iowa?

If Steyer finishes second, could he parlay that into a win or second in South Carolina and a viable player on Super Tuesday?

Stay tuned!