tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post7995035284279705605..comments2023-10-28T11:29:07.881-03:00Comments on Politics from a New Brunswick perspective: Two new polls at a critical juncturenbpoliticohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-10256828410159111812010-09-15T11:50:50.202-03:002010-09-15T11:50:50.202-03:00I Live in Nepisquit, and while I see the NDP candi...I Live in Nepisquit, and while I see the NDP candidate taking votes, there are large populations of anglophone voters in this riding who are older, and more likely to choose a traditional candidate.<br /><br />NDP strength is in the Allardville area, which is Yvon Godin vountry. The NDP candidate lives near the Robertville area, which is important in this riding, and where the Liberals won the last election.<br /><br />However, your pollster might know more than I and I would be surpassed if they won, I wouldn't be shocked. The roots are there.Paulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09335807449650905623noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-46968000450050212612010-09-15T07:57:39.860-03:002010-09-15T07:57:39.860-03:00Good prediction: mine is close to yours with PC=31...Good prediction: mine is close to yours with PC=31, Lib=19 and Toss-up=5. There are only 8 riding differences this time: Nepisiguit & Tracadie-Sheila are still Toss-Up to me although I agree that it is the NDP that are really putting the pressure, Moncton-East is still leans Liberal(PC candidate is not as well known in this tight race), Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak is still Leans Liberal(this would be truly an upset loss for the Liberals), Restigouche-la-Vallée is Leans PC(couple of neighbors whom are from there say that family members are stating that the PC candidate is now leading), Rogersville-Kouchibouguac is still Toss-up(this is a real battle between two heavyweight contenders but if the PC's take a provincial lead folks will stay with PC), Miramichi Bay-Neguac is leans PC(I have continously maintained this and it is heading for safe PC because former Minister and MLA became very impopular with local folks throughout the riding), and a new entry of Miramichi-Bay du Vin is Toss-Up(PC candidate veteran city councillor and former nurse Joan Cripss is on the rise and has popular MLA Bill Fraser on the ropes because of a series of false announcements that has gotten Fraser in deep trouble!).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-41212881696442795732010-09-14T21:15:04.003-03:002010-09-14T21:15:04.003-03:00My bet would be that the outfit that paid for the ...My bet would be that the outfit that paid for the poll (Acadie-Nouvelle) probably picked the regions where they get the most readership? I know that they have higher readership in the north than in Greater Moncton. That said, not sure why they would have done Beausejour in that case.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-65422575908769509092010-09-14T16:21:03.841-03:002010-09-14T16:21:03.841-03:00I wonder why Abacus would do a poll that would inc...I wonder why Abacus would do a poll that would include the federal riding of Beausejour but NOT of Moncton which is totally surrounded by Beausejour and which contains some very francophone areas?DLhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11587165866597795302noreply@blogger.com