tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post5996591753013603296..comments2023-10-28T11:29:07.881-03:00Comments on Politics from a New Brunswick perspective: Stephen McNeil, premier of Nova Scotia?nbpoliticohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-12704622262781259792007-05-30T15:28:00.000-03:002007-05-30T15:28:00.000-03:00Where have I heard this type of thing before?http:...Where have I heard this type of thing before?<BR/><BR/>http://jasoncherniak.blogspot.com/2006/05/vote-liberal-in-nova-scotia.htmlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-72212773411121898882007-05-29T19:30:00.000-03:002007-05-29T19:30:00.000-03:00I definately believed that the NS Libs had a chanc...I definately believed that the NS Libs had a chance from going from 3rd place to gov't if they elected Diana Whalen, but MacNeil has moved the party to the left to the point it's nothing but an echo of the NDP. The Liberals have always done best when they positioned themselves squarely in the centre, not centre-left. he's made thingss a lot easier for Rodney to hang onto power, which is too bad. I am a disgruntled PCer who'll be voting Green in the next provincial election.McGuirehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12771682181997456163noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-31981412498207378342007-05-29T15:51:00.000-03:002007-05-29T15:51:00.000-03:00*meant to say "The idea of the NDP having a 35% ce...*meant to say "The idea of the NDP having a 35% <I>ceiling</I>."danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16941331790158166428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-60526631112903223922007-05-29T15:48:00.001-03:002007-05-29T15:48:00.001-03:00This comment has been removed by the author.danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16941331790158166428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-13627468388461769912007-05-29T15:48:00.000-03:002007-05-29T15:48:00.000-03:00The idea of the NDP having a 35% may be true, but ...The idea of the NDP having a 35% may be true, but until the 1998 election, they had a 20% ceiling. Now, past results may give a window into the future, but when 3rd parties become major players, all bets are off - especially if vote-splitting becomes a factor. (Example: Bob Rae's 37% "landslide".) Heck, if a Liberal resurgence is in the cards, Rodney MacDonald might even win a majority next time around :pdanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16941331790158166428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-3164734731843287012007-05-29T14:33:00.000-03:002007-05-29T14:33:00.000-03:00Great post. Nova Scotia will most likely have a li...Great post. <BR/><BR/>Nova Scotia will most likely have a liberal minority next time around. <BR/><BR/>I would not expect NL to change due to the fact that the only difference between a Newfoundland Conservative and a Newfoundland Liberal is name and Newfoundland Conservatives tend to have bit of a separatist streak in them.Jayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17404234601709022496noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-31197571374051038472007-05-29T13:49:00.000-03:002007-05-29T13:49:00.000-03:00Certainly no wishful thinking. I have no stake in...Certainly no wishful thinking. I have no stake in Nova Scotia politics nor in the Nova Scotia Liberal Party. Whether or not they win makes no difference to me. I just thought it was an interesting historical coincidence.<BR/><BR/>However, I do think that it is quite clear that the NDP has hit its ceiling and that the best it will ever get in Nova Scotia will be a minority government. Mind you if they were to win a minority and do well they could perhaps grow, but they are not going to rush into majority territory anytime soon.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-27775602160088699362007-05-29T12:45:00.000-03:002007-05-29T12:45:00.000-03:00Interesting analysis, though perhaps more "wishful...Interesting analysis, though perhaps more "wishful thinking" than "well-thought prediction". A key thing to note in those "memory lane" elections is that 3rd parties were non-factors in the competition for power, or even the official opposition, for that matter. Also of note is the fact that the NDP began eating into Conservative seats in the last election, while the Liberals fought hard just to maintain their strongholds. <BR/><BR/>While I think the Tories' tenure at the helm of NS may be drawing to a close, the beneficiary of this decline will be, as it always has been, the official opposition ;)<BR/><BR/>I expect that Nova Scotia will have the first NDP government east of Ontario before the decade is out.danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16941331790158166428noreply@blogger.com