tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post14436393565727679..comments2023-10-28T11:29:07.881-03:00Comments on Politics from a New Brunswick perspective: The Race for Moncton Eastnbpoliticohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-38417024219158121862007-01-25T12:54:00.000-04:002007-01-25T12:54:00.000-04:00Calling a by-election in March would be crazy. Gen...Calling a by-election in March would be crazy. Generally speaking, people don't vote in by-elections. Now imagine in a by-election in the middle of a winter strom! I believe Graham will wait until at least a month so the election day doesn't happen before at least mid-April.MaZehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16992407525884992039noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-65190216096043100282007-01-23T08:38:00.000-04:002007-01-23T08:38:00.000-04:00Thanks for the compliment ledaro and the link, I w...Thanks for the compliment ledaro and the link, I will join up!nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-8566205060426641382007-01-22T19:28:00.000-04:002007-01-22T19:28:00.000-04:00nbpolitico, I agree with your predictions.
I find...nbpolitico, I agree with your predictions. <br />I find your blog quite informative and I have taken the liberty to add a link to your blog on my site.<br />Here is another interesting site to visit. <br /><br />http://electricputty.co.uk/projects/liberal-international/feeds.asp?nothingAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-73813475071241472952007-01-22T19:11:00.000-04:002007-01-22T19:11:00.000-04:00In 2003 Collins gave a then fairly popular premier...In 2003 Collins gave a then fairly popular premier quite a scare.<br /><br />Keep in mind that back then Chris was relatively unknown, and he only took 2 weeks off from his job to "run a campaign".<br /><br />Since that time, he has certainly been seen as the MLA in waiting for the liberals in the riding.<br /><br />He did not run in 2006 as he had a trip to Australia with his son as part of the "Children's Make a Wish Foundation". He publically stated that his son was certainly a bigger priority for him than any political ambitions. He certainly did not lose any support in making that decision.<br /><br />No longer a rookie in a provincial campaing, his experience as a popular city coucillor, and I would say a guaranteed cabinet seat make him a definit shoe in.<br /><br />No matter who the Tories run, it will be at least 2-1 for Collins.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-80129229450661041112007-01-22T14:14:00.000-04:002007-01-22T14:14:00.000-04:00Brian - it would indeed be a huge shock to see the...Brian - it would indeed be a huge shock to see the Tories win here, even if they snagged a star candidate.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-30911226082727052832007-01-22T14:12:00.000-04:002007-01-22T14:12:00.000-04:00The Liberals have a three seat advantage and this ...The Liberals have a three seat advantage and this would actually make it 5 (the Tories lose 1 and the Grits gain 1). However, in terms of the size of the majority it increases from 2 to 3.<br /><br />To illustrate..<br />total seats 55<br />majority of seats 28/55<br />current Liberal seats 29 (28 = 1 seat majority, 29 = 2 seat majority)<br />current Tory seats 26<br />Tory seats when Lord resigns 25<br />Liberal seats if they gain Moncton East 30nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-44163240917337129992007-01-22T14:10:00.000-04:002007-01-22T14:10:00.000-04:00Barring unforeseen events, this should be an easy ...Barring unforeseen events, this should be an easy Liberal win. To have a chance here, the Tories will have to run an amazing candidate... and I'm not too sure anyone "amazing" wants a guaranteed trip to the Opposition benches. This riding has had a government-side MLA (and two premiers) for about 18 of the last 19 years, so I doubt Moncton East voters are aching to remain in Opposition. They usually go for someone who is in power or who has a good chance of being in power soon. Stranger things have happened, though, but I think this time -- in 2007 -- it's the Liberals' to lose.Brian Cormierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16158686531829277501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-67462346222159992212007-01-22T14:06:00.000-04:002007-01-22T14:06:00.000-04:00I thought Liberals already had 3 seats advantage a...I thought Liberals already had 3 seats advantage and this will make it 4. Did I miss something?<br /><br />I believe Collin will win hands down. He almost won in 2003 against Lord. Now that Liberals are in power in Fredericton he should be able to.<br /><br />You are right that he does not seem to be so confident himself.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com