tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post116223254848982020..comments2023-10-28T11:29:07.881-03:00Comments on Politics from a New Brunswick perspective: US midtermsnbpoliticohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162325947976419622006-10-31T16:19:00.000-04:002006-10-31T16:19:00.000-04:00Here's a good television piece on Karl Rove's leg...Here's a good <A HREF="http://video.msn.com/v/us/msnbc.htm?f=00&g=a679cd96-5e25-420c-9d0e-63fc584000dd&p=hotvideo_m_edpicks&t=m5" REL="nofollow">television piece </A> on Karl Rove's legacy after the midterms.scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02243209351941311552noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162317740838038872006-10-31T14:02:00.000-04:002006-10-31T14:02:00.000-04:00The real problem for the Republicans is less obvio...<I>The real problem for the Republicans is less obvious. The won in 2000, 2002 and 2004 because of Karl Rove's very successful strategy to deliver the base. Rove has managed a virtual 100% turn out of "hard right" base Republicans in 2002 and 2004.</I><BR/><BR/>You're right, nbpolitico. I don't think he will be able to use the religious card this time around, like he did in 2002, especially given his partial demotion from his position as Republican domestic strategist.<BR/><BR/>As well, there are just as many Baptists,Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162313403770062862006-10-31T12:50:00.000-04:002006-10-31T12:50:00.000-04:00The real problem for the Republicans is less obvio...The real problem for the Republicans is less obvious. The won in 2000, 2002 and 2004 because of Karl Rove's very successful strategy to deliver the base. Rove has managed a virtual 100% turn out of "hard right" base Republicans in 2002 and 2004.<BR/><BR/>I have read that the reason why Bush lost the popular vote in 2000, in Republican circles, is that the last minute revelation he'd been convincted for drunk driving suppressed the base from turning out to some extent.<BR/><BR/>If a 25 year old drunk driving conviction supressed the base to some degree in 2000, I think that the Mark Foley case, despite having died down in the media to some degree, will be the true story of Republican loses in this election. Not because of the number of votes that will swing, but because of the number of Republican voters it will cause to stay home.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162309599156361242006-10-31T11:46:00.000-04:002006-10-31T11:46:00.000-04:00You're a pretty central guy nbpolitico (as far as ...You're a pretty central guy nbpolitico (as far as I can see) a smidge to the left. Scott's also a pretty central guy, a smidge to the right. There's lots of common ground in there and both of your sites offer some pretty thoughtful discussion. Keep up the good work. I concur with Anon, the Republicans have a rough ride ahead. Iraq has been a mess. The soldiers there are fighting a noble cause and leaving it at this stage would be a mistake but I don't know how they'll win. They got rid of Saddam which I think most people can agree is a good thing but bringing stability has been a lot tougher.Spinkshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10044519689330008751noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162308698902879922006-10-31T11:31:00.000-04:002006-10-31T11:31:00.000-04:00I don't like to think of myself as that left wing ...I don't like to think of myself as that left wing either but I don't think we've ever agreed on a policy issue so we seem to be pretty far apart ;)nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162297637895440762006-10-31T08:27:00.000-04:002006-10-31T08:27:00.000-04:00Scott, you are right wing with a sense of humour a...Scott, you are right wing with a sense of humour at times which right-wingers can use:).<BR/><BR/>I believe Dems will take both Senate and House. It is not going to be easy for Dubbya. Even Dems in majority in the House will cause some difficulty for Dubbya. It is not going to be easy ride.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1162268963085202612006-10-31T00:29:00.000-04:002006-10-31T00:29:00.000-04:00Thx a bunch, nbpolitico. Btw, am I really that rig...Thx a bunch, nbpolitico. Btw, am I really that right wing? lolscotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02243209351941311552noreply@blogger.com