tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post115773889427916178..comments2023-10-28T11:29:07.881-03:00Comments on Politics from a New Brunswick perspective: Undecideds (Part II)nbpoliticohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1158257772229103792006-09-14T15:16:00.001-03:002006-09-14T15:16:00.001-03:00the survey in tracadie gives a two to one results ...the survey in tracadie gives a two to one results favoring the grits IIt is to be noted though that the employees doing the work were identifying themself from the liberal party THus not a full fledge scientific survey.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1158257765850672032006-09-14T15:16:00.000-03:002006-09-14T15:16:00.000-03:00the survey in tracadie gives a two to one results ...the survey in tracadie gives a two to one results favoring the grits IIt is to be noted though that the employees doing the work were identifying themself from the liberal party THus not a full fledge scientific survey.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1158257246426255412006-09-14T15:07:00.000-03:002006-09-14T15:07:00.000-03:00I thing 0Tracadie should not be considered a safe ...I thing 0Tracadie should not be considered a safe Conservative. Result of NB Liberal survey show that Tracadie is not as PC as you thing.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157774093910626972006-09-09T00:54:00.000-03:002006-09-09T00:54:00.000-03:00Well, the past is not always a good predictor of t...Well, the past is not always a good predictor of the future><BR/><BR/>I'm just saying...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157771987632348712006-09-09T00:19:00.000-03:002006-09-09T00:19:00.000-03:00Come on, let go of Kings East.You can do it! It wi...Come on, let go of Kings East.You can do it! It will be Conservative by hundreds of votes at least. Call it now and you'll look brilliant.nuna d. abovehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07770915723805105651noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157770804606655572006-09-09T00:00:00.000-03:002006-09-09T00:00:00.000-03:00herringchoker ... you are right SJ is a series of ...herringchoker ... you are right SJ is a series of neighbourhoods but Holder won in 2003 by 169 votes. Knudson had never run before and made a number of gaffes. In 2006, she is running a much more professional campaign. Moreover, I doubt the NDP will get anyway near the 1161 votes they got in 2003 which should help the Grit.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157769327426877862006-09-08T23:35:00.000-03:002006-09-08T23:35:00.000-03:00Interesting call on SJ Portland but I think you ar...Interesting call on SJ Portland but I think you are overlooking an important feature of the city. Saint John remains a city of neighbourhoods, so its not safe to assume that because they vote Liberal in the South End (SJ Harbour) or Champlain Heights (SJ East), its the same across the city.<BR/><BR/>By the look of things, Trevor Holder owns the Rifle Range, which is NB's largest public housing estate. Its well known in the city that if you need social housing, Holder is the man to see. That kind of support wins him the North End so, even if the vote splits more evenly in the well-heeled parts of the riding, Holder will be returning to Fredericton. I'm not guaranteeing that, but at this point I think you should swing Portland the other way, leaning Conservative.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157753691036296232006-09-08T19:14:00.000-03:002006-09-08T19:14:00.000-03:00I'm just positing this here for my own reference w...I'm just positing this here for my own reference when I revisit Tantramar...<BR/><BR/>Times & Transcript | News - As published on page A9 on September 8, 2006<BR/><BR/><BR/>Race wide open in Tantramar<BR/><BR/><BR/>With no incumbent, Liberals, Tories and NDP all have high hopes<BR/><BR/><BR/>By Aloma Jardine<BR/>Times & Transcript Staff<BR/><BR/> <BR/>There are some ridings in New Brunswick that are worth betting on when it comes to provincial politics. <BR/><BR/>Tantramar is not one of them.<BR/><BR/>The riding has been held by all three parties. <BR/><BR/>In the 2003 election former Conservative MLA Peter Mesheau, who decided not to run a fourth time, received nearly twice as many votes as his closest rival, but with no incumbent this time around and three well-known, well-qualified candidates, it's anyone's game.<BR/><BR/>"The main thing here is they don't always necessarily vote for the party, they vote for the person," says Progressive Conservative candidate Mike Olscamp. "We've gone from NDP to Liberal to PC and I think in all cases the person was the factor there. Everyone knows everyone."<BR/><BR/>The NDP sees an opportunity in Tantramar. Not only is candidate Virgil Hammock very well known in the community, Tantramar is where the very first NDP MLA in the province was elected.<BR/><BR/>"We have that history here both federally and provincially of electing the NDP," Hammock says. "We've always had a strong presence here and we are running this campaign to win."<BR/><BR/>With the race over who will form the next government tight, even a single seat could mean wielding a lot of power in the legislature as evidenced over the past year, with one vote often making the difference and the loss of one MLA - Mesheau - precipitating the current election. <BR/><BR/>"I feel I could have a stronger voice as an NDP member than as a back bencher in the Liberal or Conservative (caucus)," Hammock says. "I don't sit up and vote when the whip whips me. I want to champion and vote for what's best for Tantramar."<BR/><BR/>Tantramar includes the municipalities of Sackville, Dorchester, Memramcook East, Cape Tormentine and all the communities and rural area in between. With less than 7,200 eligible voters it is one of the smaller ridings in the province in numbers, if not size.<BR/><BR/>Liberal candidate John Higham says he is likely the least known of the three candidates.<BR/><BR/>"I think the challenge for me is lack of name recognition," he says. "My campaign strategy has become raising that profile, getting the message of who I am, what I stand for, and what the party stands for (out there)."<BR/><BR/>Higham says there has to be recognition that there is a rural-urban divide in the riding, with different concerns in both. <BR/><BR/>"People outside of Sackville feel they have been ignored and that their concerns haven't been taken very seriously," he says. "There is a cost-price squeeze in farming, forestry, fisheries. These are huge issues for a lot of people outside Sackville."<BR/><BR/>Inside the town, Higham hears concerns about Sackville's aging water and sewer infrastructure and the desire to attract and build a knowledge economy.<BR/><BR/>"And a lot of people are talking about alternative energy and making this a centre for alternative energy," he says. "There is a whole industry that goes with that... and frankly it is up for grabs, so why not here?"<BR/><BR/>Olscamp says he'd also like to see wind power become an important industry in the riding.<BR/><BR/>"We are living in a place where the wind blows 365 days a year," he says. "I've always been a proponent of wind energy and I think the time has come for that."<BR/><BR/>Protecting health care services in the riding is one thing all three candidates agree on.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157748697001721372006-09-08T17:51:00.000-03:002006-09-08T17:51:00.000-03:00For the world of me I cannot see how Bernard Lord ...For the world of me I cannot see how Bernard Lord can be trusted. Look at his bungles. <BR/><BR/>1) Orimulsion, $2.2 billion. Horrible attempts to cover up. I believe worse than Watergate. <BR/>2) Toll highway fiasco, hundreds and hundreds of millions lost.<BR/>3) Healthcare massacre<BR/><BR/>4) His endless travel for self-promotion such as to France and meeting the president of France, he was playing head of state, African counteries, U.S and many attempts dealing directly with the President of U.S. We are a federation system and only federal government looks after foriegn affairs.<BR/><BR/>List is quite long. Man is a dead loss. How can NBers not look through him after 7 years? I believe they do and he will see the results on September 18.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157746414521453542006-09-08T17:13:00.000-03:002006-09-08T17:13:00.000-03:00matt - thanks, I'll give your blog a read.matt - thanks, I'll give your blog a read.nbpoliticohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09517401409653124082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30694877.post-1157745906750869782006-09-08T17:05:00.000-03:002006-09-08T17:05:00.000-03:00I'm a resident of Tantramar, and teach in Canadian...I'm a resident of Tantramar, and teach in Canadian Studies at Mount A. I've put up a few posts about the campaign on my blog about the campaign here at: http://pamplemoose.blogspot.com<BR/><BR/>It's a tight race, to be sure, and the NDP candidate seems to be positioning himself as a possible swing vote who will vote for Tantramar's interests in a deadlocked legislature, which might just work for getting votes.Matthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02223884864363791487noreply@blogger.com